Readying for the CCP’s fall is an insurance against the ’most consequential political contingency of the 21st century,’ China expert Miles Yu said.
By Catholics for Catholics
What if the Chinese government suddenly collapsed? What if the communist giant, armed with a massive amount of nuclear weapons, the largest military in the world and the globe’s second (some say that is now the first) superpower suddenly crumpled, leaving the rest of the planet in chaos?
According to a story by the Epoch Times, policymakers in Washington have undertaken huge efforts to face threats posed by China, but what if the communist regime were to suddenly fall apart, somewhat like what happened to the Soviet Union, but worse?
Those are questions posed by Miles Yu, director of the China Center at the Hudson Institute, in a recent op-ed in The Washington Times.
“The greatest strategic challenge posed by China may not be what happens if the Chinese Communist Party [CCP] succeeds, but what happens if it suddenly fails,” he wrote in the column published on Sept. 14.
Still, Yu did not augur an impending downfall or give any timeline for regime change. Instead, he stressed that such state of affairs planning rarely appears in public discussion among Western policymakers.
“That is a dangerous failure of imagination,” Yu wrote.
“The CCP may survive for decades, or it may collapse with the breathtaking speed of the communist regimes of 1989,” wrote Yu, an adviser to then-U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo during President Donald Trump’s first term. “We cannot know when, but history gives us no excuse for being surprised twice.”
“Readying for China after communism is not a regime-change policy. It is insurance against the most consequential political contingency of the 21st century,” he wrote.
“There are many reasons why people argue that the regime could collapse at any time. One is that it lacks legitimacy—it no longer has ordinary people’s faith or trust,” Feng Chongyi, an associate professor at the University of Technology Sydney, told The Epoch Times.
“The regime is in a precarious situation. You might say it’s already entered its ‘endgame,’ or as Chinese people call it, ‘garbage time.’”
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